MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b11ac29c027255c793e07f8fcf6ed171420131749d6a631ceae7d923c63fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Toronto Blue Jays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea7e…f207backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 62,484$29,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,367.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 29,851$20,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,264.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.94 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 15,855$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.38 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 13,912$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.61 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 13,710$8,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.73 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 13,222$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.12 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 11,310$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.66 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.5 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 11,024$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.4 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 10,220$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.37 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 7,943$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.18 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 7,326$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.35 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 6,755$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.87 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 6,240$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.9 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,625$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.75 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 5,153$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 4,883$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.24 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 4,734$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.88 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 3,936$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.96 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,850$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 3,506$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.42 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,060$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.18 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,053$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.59 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 3,009$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 2,767$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 2,449$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.08 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,365$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.9 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 2,079$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,789$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.14 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,560$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,539$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.78 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 1,536$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.3 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 1,424$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.06 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 1,335$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,235$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.29 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,189$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.13 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,153$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.36 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,055$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.57 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,005$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 994$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 927$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.42 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 880$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 863.58$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.85 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 843.67$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.09 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 838.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 826.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 748.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 717.1$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.35 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 716.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 692.77$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 659.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 642.7$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.07 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 623.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 586.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.46 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 584.21$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 570.15$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 478.03$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 476.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 456.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 428$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 419.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 416.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 409.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 392.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 371.92$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 369.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 364.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 345.66$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 335.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 320.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 320.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 299.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 295.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 294.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 293.89$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 264.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 257.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 229.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 227.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 227$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.