TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea7e…f207

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,423Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$10,269.28
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.64
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,020.97
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$147
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$144.55
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$1,367.19
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.29
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,197.91
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.76
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,079.34
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,500
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,970.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)backed ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.15
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$91.2
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.39
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$43.5
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$378.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,367.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,196.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.