CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a726539729eafa66a1729f8c34c32dc85d75a412a64f76e1069a3a69b591d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,237,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed HOTU | 40c | 138,995$55,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,638.79 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked HOTU | 38c | 52,563$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,563.29 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed GamerLegion | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed GamerLegion | 0c | 34,154$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed GamerLegion | 63c | 30,948$19,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,419.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed GamerLegion | 60c | 28,186$16,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,911.86 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…62e6backed HOTU | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GamerLegion | 43c | 23,202$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,889.98 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked HOTU | 40c | 19,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked HOTU | 40c | 14,364$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.4 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked HOTU | 41c | 12,134$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,134.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 10,652$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed HOTU | 57c | 10,589$6,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.41 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed GamerLegion | 32c | 10,177$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.13 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed HOTU | 63c | 10,142$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.92 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed HOTU | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.96 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed HOTU | 51c | 9,250$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.48 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed HOTU | 37c | 8,888$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.43 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed GamerLegion | 51c | 8,423$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.58 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed GamerLegion | 36c | 8,362$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.32 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed HOTU | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed GamerLegion | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 7,750$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.65 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed HOTU | 40c | 7,378$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.03 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…ae1bbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 6,846$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed HOTU | 64c | 6,703$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.97 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed GamerLegion | 62c | 6,671$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,135.95 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 6,367$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.53 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed GamerLegion | 48c | 6,293$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.76 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed GamerLegion | 51c | 5,890$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…7e93backed HOTU | 39c | 5,722$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed GamerLegion | 36c | 5,629$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.47 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed HOTU | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.16 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked HOTU | 64c | 5,114$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.04 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked GamerLegion | 63c | 4,806$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.64 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked HOTU | 58c | 4,700$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.16 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed GamerLegion | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked GamerLegion | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GamerLegion | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.22 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed GamerLegion | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed HOTU | 43c | 3,954$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.85 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed GamerLegion | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked HOTU | 57c | 3,827$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.65 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed HOTU | 37c | 3,818$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.38 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GamerLegion | 28c | 3,810$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.98 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GamerLegion | 56c | 3,606$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.74 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 62c | 3,491$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.11 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 3,162$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.82 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed HOTU | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.94 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked GamerLegion | 22c | 2,874$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed HOTU | 73c | 2,779$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.41 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 2,720$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.16 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed GamerLegion | 64c | 2,704$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.37 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed GamerLegion | 2c | 2,650$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 2,529$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed HOTU | 61c | 2,475$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked GamerLegion | 44c | 2,393$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.47 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed GamerLegion | 57c | 2,271$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 45c | 2,250$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.5 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 52c | 2,192$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.06 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed HOTU | 40c | 2,111$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.6 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked GamerLegion | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed HOTU | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.82 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked HOTU | 45c | 1,999$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.93 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed GamerLegion | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked GamerLegion | 43c | 1,878$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.59 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed HOTU | 49c | 1,876$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.76 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 41c | 1,826$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.23 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked GamerLegion | 42c | 1,809$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.91 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed HOTU | 51c | 1,808$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GamerLegion | 57c | 1,789$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.19 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked HOTU | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.39 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 1,787$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.24 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked HOTU | 61c | 1,787$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.98 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked HOTU | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed GamerLegion | 61c | 1,668$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked GamerLegion | 59c | 1,600$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed HOTU | 40c | 1,596$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.6 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HOTU | 66c | 1,560$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.85 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 1,537$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.21 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed HOTU | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HOTU | 54c | 1,494$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.1 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked HOTU | 64c | 1,422$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.52 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked GamerLegion | 56c | 1,383$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.17 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 55c | 1,377$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.95 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked GamerLegion | 5c | 1,312$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 1,293$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.84 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed GamerLegion | 15c | 1,269$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked HOTU | 64c | 1,250$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.25 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU | 53c | 1,250$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed GamerLegion | 42c | 1,246$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed HOTU | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked HOTU | 63c | 1,158$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.5 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked GamerLegion | 60c | 1,141$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.23 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GamerLegion | 57c | 1,132$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.93 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed GamerLegion | 66c | 1,121$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.04 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked GamerLegion | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.