TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e3e…7d88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT8236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Giles Hussey vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Fabian Marozsan vs Vit Koprivabacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescubacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,631
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$684.46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$29.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Gabriela Ruse vs Sinja Krausbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$767.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Federica Urgesibacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$1,953.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Jil Teichmannbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Mayar Sherifbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanenbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Camila Osorio vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$1,213.12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Dalma Galfibacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellienbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.38
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$140.26
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$167.53
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$338.54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$156.29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$304.62
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$128.63
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.07
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$261.61
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$519
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$188.27
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$457.07
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+80%+$239.97
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.98
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.7
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$216.75
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+90%+$989.45
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.28
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$323.27
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.8
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.35
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.1
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.04
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$354.16
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$543.96
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$626.93
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$1,030.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+177.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$399.87
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+216.6%+$623.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$1,203.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$457.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.32
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$965.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.74
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.46
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.