Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b1888136123c16936524930ed434eebffdd43d76b161b013b9e519af3df95d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $506,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e0…649bbacked Yes | 31c | 30,827$9,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,582.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 27,291$18,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,309.45 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 69c | 22,675$15,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,056.06 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 31c | 19,172$5,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.13 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 18,127$12,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.37 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 71c | 17,322$12,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 14,645$11,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.63 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 70c | 14,505$10,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 29c | 11,555$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.9 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed No | 71c | 10,370$7,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…f0b4backed Yes | 32c | 8,993$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 70c | 8,044$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.18 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 29c | 7,986$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 70c | 7,964$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.23 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 3c | 7,943$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 70c | 7,852$5,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.82 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 71c | 7,030$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 29c | 6,603$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 71c | 6,536$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 31c | 6,185$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 31c | 6,078$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 70c | 6,054$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.12 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,163$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 31c | 4,792$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 30c | 4,790$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 31c | 4,638$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,182$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.3 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 5c | 3,880$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 70c | 3,755$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 3,435$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked Yes | 7c | 3,435$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,417$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 3,372$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.49 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 71c | 3,351$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.85 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…ba40backed Yes | 4c | 3,316$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 29c | 3,301$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 3,259$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.6 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 3,182$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.06 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 70c | 3,025$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 29c | 2,970$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,874$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.2 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 13c | 2,849$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 72c | 2,810$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.93 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…a0aebacked Yes | 29c | 2,641$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 29c | 2,630$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 22c | 2,626$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 23c | 2,524$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,342$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 69c | 2,340$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.27 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 71c | 2,274$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 2,266$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 30c | 2,191$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 69c | 2,131$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Yes | 3c | 2,065$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 31c | 2,010$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.09 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 18c | 1,996$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 69c | 1,988$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.85 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 71c | 1,978$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.75 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Yes | 25c | 1,975$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Yes | 30c | 1,942$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 69c | 1,879$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 14c | 1,877$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes | 30c | 1,874$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 8c | 1,855$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 1,750$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 3c | 1,739$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Yes | 32c | 1,716$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 1,692$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.89 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 31c | 1,685$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…d605backed Yes | 29c | 1,660$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 29c | 1,647$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 69c | 1,636$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 3c | 1,570$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 76c | 1,558$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.68 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.98 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…8c0abacked Yes | 30c | 1,437$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 1,383$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 30c | 1,316$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Yes | 30c | 1,270$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…312fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,268$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,256$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,247$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9133backed Yes | 23c | 1,245$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 31c | 1,237$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…10aebacked Yes | 31c | 1,200$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,181$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed No | 68c | 1,180$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,174$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 69c | 1,168$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 31c | 1,082$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 31c | 1,067$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 14c | 1,020$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.