TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f28…9133

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$117.83
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.93
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.38
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.21
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.76
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$356.87
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.16
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+267.6%+$154.68
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$95.6
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.48
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.16
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.56
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$1,062.95
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$308.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.