TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c5,885$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.783,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes53c1,973$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c1,084$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.652,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed No45c1,003$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed Yes53c999.96$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes55c990.69$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.882040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes53c917.06$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.94045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No45c676.37$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.983655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No45c644.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c04…8c0abacked No47c618$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c608.99$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Yes54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No46c461.38$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.145635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes53c458.87$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c456.65$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes55c442.27$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2511536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c433.72$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed No47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes53c405.81$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed No49c401.65$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed No49c387.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19a1…6aefbacked No78c379.54$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c299.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes51c299.81$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.072725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes41c274.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.977328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No44c256.55$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c250.52$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7766150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No55c248.27$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked No80c248.14$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe458…7abebacked Yes53c243.66$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes52c242.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.034942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8361…c9c9backed Yes56c229.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No55c217.35$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6738453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ce…5511backed Yes54c199.85$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.186844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.32339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes53c149.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.477143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes52c138.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes53c134.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c124.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.31,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes15c124.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.981816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb61…8687backed Yes53c121.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0add…8809backed Yes53c120.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes40c120.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.161040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc83…ee1ebacked No47c113.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…9133backed No47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143b…27dcbacked No47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.55034%17 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8f…4449backed Yes53c91.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No57c87.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4170239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd2…2f38backed Yes24c87.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2287…3054backed Yes51c83.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No47c82.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.483033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed No47c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa2…ba3ebacked Yes52c78.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes52c77.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.45046%23 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked No48c77.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No77c77.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.914552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No67c71.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.583366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fc4…be62backed Yes53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2a…8dbdbacked No47c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No47c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c50.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No61c46.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4703…27bebacked Yes53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes53c45.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.336647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed No47c43.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+60.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc35…920cbacked Yes26c41.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed No47c40.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed No48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed No48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.994353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes54c38.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215448.1%26 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fca…4949backed Yes52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7838…3e84backed Yes53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…9e71backed Yes52c30.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed No62c30.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-59.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Yes42c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Yes52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c2b…5db8backed No48c26.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No58c25.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.882254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes49c25.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.614757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes56c24.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.632842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes54c22.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1921243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes53c20.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.828351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes51c19.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.075745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes52c19.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.283554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…efaabacked Yes53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.