TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2287…3054

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.42
Set 1 Winner: Basilashvili vs Altmaierbacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.08
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Xinyu Wang vs Manon Leonardbacked Manon Leonard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Vacherot vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.18
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Joao Fonseca vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$14.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.87
Lehecka vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Daniel Altmaier vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$37.4
Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.59
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$15.43
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$15.16
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.89
Arthur Fils vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15.33
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
CA Nacional Potosí vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$140
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$37.53
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
CA Independiente vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$24.08
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.6
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.86
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$28.44
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Poland vs. Albania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+125%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.