TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6157…9fb4backed Over56c35,780$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c25,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.9674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under44c15,387$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,604.419551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c15,185$8,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,849.324,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under43c12,932$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,411.551,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c6,517$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.033,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Over56c5,341$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over57c4,372$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c4,035$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Over45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over55c2,864$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.071735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c2,843$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.823,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c2,347$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.322,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under45c2,185$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.662,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Over55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c2,010$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c1,982$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c1,810$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.122,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e1…8c5bbacked Over58c1,694$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,520$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.572,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Under46c1,270$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.576243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over42c1,199$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.6136247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Over57c1,080$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Over55c1,042$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.11931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over19c1,023$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.361822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over56c999.96$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9813155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over55c999.94$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Over50c999.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.578142%34 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under71c955.7$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.094,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over40c744.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over56c706.38$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.572458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over40c616.16$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.839573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c581.15$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.623,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under80c566$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4341444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c555$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.252,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c555$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.252,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over55c499.96$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9812934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over56c443.97$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6345038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over57c441.07$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4113948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over56c438.59$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6110051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over17c412.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.071,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under70c411.77$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.12,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over56c378$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2443145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under44c375.34$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over55c355.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.251,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over56c354.38$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4512550.4%63 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Over55c353.32$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2913353.4%71 W · 62 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over37c350$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.941,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over57c347.37$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19817948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over56c344$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6470948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c341.44$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.292,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…2a65backed Over57c333.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Over55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c276.66$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.71,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da5…3bafbacked Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509252.2%48 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under54c255.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.941,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.546546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…fb27backed Over58c223.28$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.52560%15 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over57c219.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over50c208$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.121,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over45c206$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1347744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Over6c190$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…f5d0backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over58c173.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8faa…1b5cbacked Over58c172.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over27c170.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6729558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under42c167.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8736838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over56c167.41$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7516655.4%92 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Over56c166.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over56c164.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9512454.8%68 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under44c161.36$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3621240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c152.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.831,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.515727.4%43 W · 114 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Over34c148.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.988541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under70c144.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2916753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over49c143.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.771,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over56c138.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5413157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over29c136.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.977037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under75c132.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9717568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under43c132.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under42c130.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.765850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5130…d3d4backed Over54c127.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over45c124$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c120.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.114,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over26c118.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.041,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Over57c118.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7618436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…d2d4backed Under73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.745100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d33…80a6backed Under44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.274829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over18c100.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.212,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5370…52b6backed Over30c100.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.