TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saudi Arabiaof Uruguay, Saudi Arabia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Uruguay14c35,581$4,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,898.212,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Uruguay20c31,536$6,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,368.472,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Uruguay20c25,242$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Saudi Arabia80c6,601$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.532,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Uruguay20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Uruguay20c3,225$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.915721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Uruguay20c2,483$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Saudi Arabia80c2,228$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.692,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Uruguay20c2,074$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Uruguay20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Uruguay19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Uruguay19c1,450$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Saudi Arabia80c1,437$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.317529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Uruguay20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Uruguay20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Uruguay20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Uruguay18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Uruguay2c777.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Uruguay19c591.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.613,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Uruguay19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Uruguay20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Uruguay20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Uruguay20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Uruguay19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Uruguay12c476.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1543230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Uruguay20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Uruguay20c433.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.741,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Uruguay19c432.23$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Uruguay19c421.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014035.7%50 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Uruguay10c399.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9810934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Uruguay20c390$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Uruguay20c335$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Uruguay15c334.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Uruguay13c310$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.317732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Uruguay19c299.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.436838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Uruguay17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Uruguay17c294.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992718.5%5 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Saudi Arabia80c268$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Uruguay19c259.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3226720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Uruguay12c259$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Saudi Arabia79c258$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1825848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Uruguay14c253.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Uruguay20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Saudi Arabia80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92a…169cbacked Uruguay21c243$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Uruguay16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Saudi Arabia80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4013846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Uruguay20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Uruguay6c191.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Uruguay14c184.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.592,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Uruguay19c148.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.761,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Uruguay19c144.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4245932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Uruguay13c138.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9287837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a11…aab3backed Uruguay20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Uruguay20c125.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.047632.9%25 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Uruguay20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Uruguay20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517227.3%47 W · 125 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffaf…64c6backed Uruguay13c110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Uruguay20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2236534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Uruguay14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510630.2%32 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Uruguay19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Uruguay19c101.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3311626.7%31 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Uruguay20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bd…3595backed Uruguay19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197526.7%20 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Uruguay20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4847…a7a2backed Uruguay20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202416.7%4 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4018…fba4backed Uruguay20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed Uruguay21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Uruguay20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Uruguay19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe3…fba2backed Uruguay19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d2b…50e0backed Uruguay19c77.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Uruguay20c71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.227765.3%181 W · 96 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d52…df50backed Uruguay20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414142.6%60 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34bb…f3e4backed Uruguay16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108625.6%22 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Uruguay18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.817737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Uruguay19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf2a…64ddbacked Saudi Arabia80c57.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.563145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5248…b976backed Uruguay21c56.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10a4…323cbacked Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012933.3%43 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd9…9db9backed Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102532%8 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013826.8%37 W · 101 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106253.2%33 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17be…6aa8backed Uruguay20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Saudi Arabia80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.837950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Saudi Arabia80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.650950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Saudi Arabia80c16.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.311,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Saudi Arabia80c14.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9827058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Saudi Arabia80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.538155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.