TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,850 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c2,290$988 inWon+$1,302.44,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over57c1,969$1,122 inLost-$1,122.293,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c1,754$792 inWon+$961.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Over58c1,006$583 inLost-$583.424650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over56c767.86$430 inLost-$43011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c627.31$340 inWon+$287.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Over57c399.98$228 inLost-$227.998149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5068…13a1backed Under45c296.89$133 inWon+$163.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under43c232.56$100 inWon+$132.5631149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Over51c199.99$102 inLost-$1021855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over58c157.88$92 inLost-$91.7532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over58c157.24$91 inLost-$91.1315650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c151.79$64 inWon+$88.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over51c116.96$60 inLost-$59.6516544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over57c87.75$50 inLost-$5066745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over56c60$34 inLost-$33.632254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x794c…0238backed Under61c56.59$35 inWon+$22.071656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over42c56.17$24 inLost-$23.527037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd0…4906backed Over56c51.54$29 inLost-$28.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost-$2516052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c46.32$27 inLost-$27.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ba…10d5backed Over58c43.57$25 inLost-$25.276851.5%35 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac5e…fb3fbacked Over57c43.46$25 inLost-$24.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad9…b3afbacked Under46c41.3$19 inWon+$22.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a2…2412backed Over52c38.89$20 inLost-$20.2180%0 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under43c36.07$16 inWon+$20.5684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under43c36.07$16 inWon+$20.5648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon+$15.6116231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over58c29.12$17 inLost-$16.892,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over58c19.7$11 inLost-$11.442,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.