Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc63efb32fd2860d6b2a4db30079f0b296ad7e12d7874cb44dfc55242fbf591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 37,723$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 15c | 13,945$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.71 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 5,204$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 14c | 4,811$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…6117backed Under | 73c | 2,721$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 22c | 1,738$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.36 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Over | 28c | 1,287$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.13 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…3715backed Over | 27c | 906.68$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 21c | 789.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 17c | 663.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 14c | 594.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…7761backed Over | 23c | 585.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 12c | 567.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 27c | 487.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…bda6backed Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 12c | 370.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 346.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 74c | 285.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 12c | 214.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked Over | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…da9fbacked Over | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 12c | 158$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 25c | 148.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 130.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over | 37c | 119.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d7…a2fdbacked Over | 14c | 119.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 23c | 103.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…b0dbbacked Over | 15c | 102.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 69c | 99.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 32c | 93.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06aa…fbf3backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…0e69backed Over | 14c | 72.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 24c | 68.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 67c | 25.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 23.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 72c | 18.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 16.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.