TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,879,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,972,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,879,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,032 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c283,957$126,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,041.6877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over39c182,982$71,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,327.9717840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c164,061$100,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,851.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under55c154,311$84,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,571.3515249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over45c72,824$32,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,770.913458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under55c72,727$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,727.275451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Under55c70,087$38,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,197.672740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under56c69,852$38,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,034.8817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over44c64,290$28,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,287.392326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under59c64,264$37,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,498.065523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c62,109$13,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,382.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.9932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over44c44,444$19,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,555.293339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over34c44,137$14,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,990.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c44,114$24,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,919.552,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under56c44,045$24,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,379.813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Under63c41,943$26,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,343.414734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,399.8617949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under56c34,068$19,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,989.927851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over46c33,333$15,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,333.1814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c27,818$19,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,709.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under56c27,443$15,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,179.038349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under57c25,000$14,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,7504040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over20c24,290$4,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,858.014932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00020044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over43c20,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7009253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9414445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over45c18,700$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,41520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under56c17,671$9,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,775.453754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over42c17,184$7,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,284.7819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Over45c16,974$7,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.223540%14 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over42c14,003$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,897.013,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under54c12,800$6,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.96149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over24c12,514$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.973943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9414829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over25c9,892$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c9,540$4,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.579948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over44c7,473$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2887943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over48c7,348$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over26c7,241$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under56c7,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0806758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under73c6,688$4,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Over39c6,410$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over43c6,365$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.3116050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under55c6,364$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.643850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c5,833$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.851,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under56c5,521$3,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.158251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c5,249$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.212,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Over39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9509242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9811343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over28c5,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over31c4,628$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under55c4,545$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.4512554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac8…986fbacked Over45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e4…50f2backed Over45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over45c4,329$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.832842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9122342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over45c3,995$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.671735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under60c3,985$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.624058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over45c3,967$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.3121849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Under55c3,781$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.2910959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under55c3,690$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.4129232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c3,521$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.691,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under75c3,345$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.042,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Over46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under54c3,095$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.0339933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over34c3,068$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.332,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under79c2,953$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.3133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over45c2,897$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.5348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under55c2,809$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.657744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under54c2,800$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.9613762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over45c2,794$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.250243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over45c2,745$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.1547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over45c2,638$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.2122846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1492…a2c9backed Over46c2,611$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.873534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Under54c2,601$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.4322247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…70b7backed Under60c2,545$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.662250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c2,545$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.852,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over45c2,378$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.0184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over45c2,378$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.0148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over38c2,357$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.0263544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9440…a073backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over34c2,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Under56c2,180$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.3612047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c2,138$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.054,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Under61c2,138$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.157648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x466a…76e7backed Under62c2,099$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over15c2,005$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.579573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.