TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,097 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c8,716$433 inLost-$433.333,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Over11c3,030$325 inLost-$32513721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over6c901.88$54 inLost-$53.754,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c582.45$64 inLost-$64.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$506619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over10c490$49 inLost-$4922919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over15c408$61 inLost-$61.211338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0004…703ebacked Over10c365$37 inLost-$36.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over28c322.58$90 inLost-$90.161,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Over10c300$30 inLost-$309418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over9c200$18 inLost-$1826537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over13c194.1$25 inLost-$25.2380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under73c100.44$73 inWon+$27.0448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$1022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$1036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under73c72.5$53 inWon+$19.2484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6f…cb80backed Over73c48.95$36 inLost-$35.531844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over37c26.74$10 inLost-$10.0119838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Under54c20$11 inWon+$9.27744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under74c15.59$12 inWon+$4.0836045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.