TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$413,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9854…6bf2backed Over26c37,870$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under76c35,000$26,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.934158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over17c22,711$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,931.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c13,494$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over9c13,459$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.751,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over25c9,651$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.8477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over13c7,709$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under75c5,076$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.061,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over21c5,008$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.8945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Over15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over14c4,086$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.322,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c3,809$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.714,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…76f1backed Under78c3,799$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.92055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c3,547$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.221,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over10c3,273$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c2,861$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under74c2,769$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.7771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under76c2,309$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.512,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under80c2,251$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.442,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over24c2,042$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Under75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over5c1,783$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over25c1,781$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.2511946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over9c1,698$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.852,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over9c1,295$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over21c1,179$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over14c1,142$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2210836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c1,048$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.783,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over6c1,001$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under76c986.84$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8422551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under75c919.23$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.793,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under76c874.63$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.882,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over24c869.48$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over24c860.44$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over18c797.3$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.95731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over25c788.38$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…1279backed Over11c768.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over25c703.45$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.256836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c675$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.52,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under74c675$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.52,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.357867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Under75c640$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over17c599.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under75c598.04$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.512,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over23c595.39$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9415141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over17c566.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.967431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…ad4cbacked Over18c542.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.724119.5%8 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under73c533$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.525848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over14c528.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.133151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b97…9978backed Under76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.324560%27 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff1…e743backed Under77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.484940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e77…a6bdbacked Over20c502$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Under77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11540145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over24c464.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.591,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over23c430.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over14c417.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…f14fbacked Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009740.2%39 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9252455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over25c392$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b94…87d9backed Under77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6111164.9%72 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under75c349.98$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Under76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.959662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over6c324.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.178032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under76c301.17$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.282,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7524542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1627951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over20c254.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over11c248$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.167037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c241.43$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over9c238.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4830836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over25c232.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0922135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over25c224$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under75c216.38$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.391,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffaf…64c6backed Under76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over24c199.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4736838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Under76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.373557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over25c194$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under74c189.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2768141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over24c180.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over24c180.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under76c172$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2817747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over26c169.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0127641.3%114 W · 162 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over9c169.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under75c163.81$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.621,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over24c162.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.114458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under75c158.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.541,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.