TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60e6…1279

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.48
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will Granada CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.36
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$41.04
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.45
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+242.4%+$48.41
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+228.2%+$45.54
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$87.38
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.82
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.97
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.74
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.97
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+785.4%+$628.29
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$94.54
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.91
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$41.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.02
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.94
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.75
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$38.48
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.63
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$18.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$44.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.