Mls · resolved market
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c78ba333b478443174b17304da21ae81620d06fb5bd54866fce1af30912aaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 46c | 15,664$7,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.81 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 4c | 8,775$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 54c | 7,522$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.08 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 5c | 6,798$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 5,875$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.34 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 6c | 5,145$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 57c | 4,468$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.48 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.66 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 3,450$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.85 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…468ebacked Yes | 45c | 3,215$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…a061backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 6c | 2,520$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…a14abacked Yes | 50c | 2,379$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 44c | 2,363$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 35c | 2,014$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.42 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 1,777$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 1,723$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 42c | 1,367$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,152$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.41 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,079$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.54 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 956.75$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.17 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 54c | 885.1$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 47c | 802.54$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 763.24$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.56 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 678.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.47 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 62c | 572.73$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.19 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 492.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 6c | 492$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 491.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.24 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 6c | 442$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 34c | 441$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 16c | 392.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 59c | 359.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 339.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 60c | 335.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 305.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 70c | 282.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 41c | 281.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 240.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 64c | 217.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 203.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 68c | 196.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 56c | 151.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 40c | 148$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 43c | 144$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 35c | 139.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed No | 24c | 137.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 54c | 134.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 79c | 131.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 13c | 127.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 120.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 80.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 42c | 78.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 21c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 21c | 67.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 54.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes | 42c | 52.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Yes | 46c | 45.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 39.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 41c | 39.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 45c | 37.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 41c | 36.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…47debacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 43c | 34.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 67c | 32.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 28.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…9102backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…1279backed Yes | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…0be0backed Yes | 43c | 25.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 57c | 23.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 59c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.