Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232d38903380f96a6158961ceb2530829f69dba0ad88ab237246b0d7425c8435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 12,369$9,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,361.6 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 23c | 5,215$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.88 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 32c | 4,443$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 27c | 4,174$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.44 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 3,569$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.21 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,364$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 34c | 2,339$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,295$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 19c | 2,219$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.06 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 34c | 1,466$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,286$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.9 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 71c | 1,175$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.75 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 1,145$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.54 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 68c | 1,132$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.23 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 22c | 1,101$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.32 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 993.43$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.14 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 31c | 798.32$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 74c | 748.34$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 687.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.64 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 71c | 644.11$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 617.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 33c | 610$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 75c | 608$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 77c | 597.4$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 518.32$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 30c | 503$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.1 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 51c | 490.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 19c | 477$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 19c | 477$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 75c | 451.88$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 437.18$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 432.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 35c | 424.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 404.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 58c | 395.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.04 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 379.6$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 53c | 378.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 363.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 30c | 320$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 61c | 299.21$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 34c | 294.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 282.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 269.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 267.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 44c | 246.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Yes | 32c | 229.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 25c | 179.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 154.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 69c | 117.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 60c | 114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 113.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 106$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 69c | 100.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 22c | 91.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 28c | 87.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 86.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…de4abacked Yes | 69c | 83.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 28c | 69.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 36c | 66.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 31c | 61.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 50.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 32c | 48.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 56c | 42.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 33c | 42.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 72c | 38.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 52c | 38.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 48c | 35.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 66c | 33.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 33.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Yes | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 28.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed No | 70c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 67c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 72c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 15.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.