TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14b2…e75f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Rio Ave FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-2.5)backed Heracles Almelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will NEC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)backed Fatih Karagümrük SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will AZ win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.47
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.47
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.41
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.98
Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)backed Gençlerbirliği SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.41
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
NEC vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.17
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$3.39
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)backed FC Dallas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.56
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.69
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.46
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.79
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.18
Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.38
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.34
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)backed CD Mirandés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.59
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.74
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.16
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.26
Spread: Córdoba CF (-2.5)backed CD Mirandés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.5
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.1
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)backed Club Blooming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.05
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.33
Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)backed Coritiba FBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.59
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$13.59
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.83
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.8
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.96
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.84
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed VfL Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.85
Spread: Hannover 96 (-1.5)backed Eintracht Braunschweig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.59
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.36
Spread: SV 07 Elversberg (-1.5)backed SpVgg Greuther Fürth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.33
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$8.06
Spread: Hannover 96 (-2.5)backed SpVgg Greuther Fürth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.54
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)backed FC Augsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.12
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.2
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)backed NEOM SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.12
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.85
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.54
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.34
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+78.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.78
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.55
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)backed Macarthur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.98
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.