Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a93adf45da872cc727ac21b9944cd61be3182a8c3106669b7dc54763269f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,337$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 41c | 697$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…62f0backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 310.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 276.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 255.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 45c | 243.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 233.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 58c | 216.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 57c | 176.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 57c | 140.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 56c | 100.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 51c | 94.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 27c | 71.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 58c | 47.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f871backed Yes | 45c | 46.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 43c | 38.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…5323backed No | 60c | 38.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 56c | 29.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 53c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.