Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x440b2ecb7ec9242e902a2f20c679820a14565c97b898681beeaf1ab6b14edebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,277 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 30c | 1,382$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.59 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 728.35$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 46c | 556.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 548.63$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 71c | 509.58$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 491.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 38c | 401.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…62f0backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 315.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 48c | 312.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 48c | 209.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 187.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 49c | 101.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 52c | 98.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…3c61backed Over | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 39.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…918bbacked Under | 46c | 36.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 63c | 35.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc415…4e42backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5this page
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.