Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e837c4a08b443f5612ef0f0913779beded92f4567c358a8fc45e21c676a270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NECof NEC, FC Volendam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,976 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Volendam | 48c | 1,691$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.68 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed FC Volendam | 43c | 1,144$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.55 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NEC | 60c | 602.22$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…937cbacked NEC | 64c | 583.25$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed NEC | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Volendam | 46c | 539.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed NEC | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed NEC | 48c | 354.2$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked NEC | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Volendam | 20c | 206.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Volendam | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed NEC | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked NEC | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Volendam | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed FC Volendam | 38c | 138.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FC Volendam | 46c | 136.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed NEC | 54c | 135.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed NEC | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Volendam | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Volendam | 46c | 124.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed NEC | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed NEC | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked NEC | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed NEC | 44c | 90.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed NEC | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Volendam | 47c | 81.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed NEC | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed NEC | 59c | 62.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed NEC | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked NEC | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed NEC | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked NEC | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FC Volendam | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked NEC | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked NEC | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Volendam | 56c | 48.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked NEC | 44c | 47.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…2217backed NEC | 54c | 45.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…044abacked FC Volendam | 47c | 44.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…918bbacked FC Volendam | 59c | 31.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed NEC | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed NEC | 38c | 27.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed NEC | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked NEC | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed NEC | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed NEC | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc415…4e42backed FC Volendam | 61c | 17.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)this page
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.