Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19432043a8bbcc72ef8d3a009bd45db06b4e244d206b8098796f5c2c7555e752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,892 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 12,786$9,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,642.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 8,186$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.49 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 4,746$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 3,804$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 2,894$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 2,272$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.17 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 18c | 1,299$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.38 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 63c | 789.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 18c | 715$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 397.02$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 346$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 53c | 286.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 18c | 279.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 250.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 69c | 215.53$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 18c | 202.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 77c | 187.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 17c | 166.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 165.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 75c | 96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 19c | 86.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Yes | 74c | 70.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 40c | 63.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 27c | 50.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes | 75c | 49.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 34c | 48.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 75c | 44.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 34c | 40.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 41c | 39.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed Yes | 75c | 33.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 47c | 31.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 62c | 27.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 46c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 75c | 19.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.