TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9ef…0cf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT6464.1%41 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$5.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$6.52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$6.94
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$9.65
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$4.34
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.7
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.97
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27%+$7.1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$8.54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+36%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$8.66
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.13
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.92
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs regain (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BOSS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$17.28
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$15.52
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$25.55
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.03
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.25
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.06
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+243.4%+$113.59
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.47
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+161%+$104.74
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.83
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Dbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.91
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$30.28
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Alliance (BO3) - Journey Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$56.47
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$53.36
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e - Map 2 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.99
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.58
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Louie Sutherland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.