CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3bb8a411d285c6a33f4446b35ebfbb7f375c2dc0ba2fb3b7872da5c93c9642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked megoshort | 57c | 4,939$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.75 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed TNC | 45c | 4,610$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.65 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed TNC | 41c | 2,646$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.58 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 54c | 2,613$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TNC | 50c | 2,093$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.11 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TNC | 47c | 1,645$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.97 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 55c | 1,352$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked TNC | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked megoshort | 53c | 994$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.18 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked TNC | 67c | 970.68$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.33 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked megoshort | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 33c | 646.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked megoshort | 63c | 640.88$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed TNC | 41c | 577.59$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 55c | 488.73$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked megoshort | 53c | 486.37$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed TNC | 41c | 422.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 70c | 406.31$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed megoshort | 50c | 384.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed TNC | 39c | 370.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed TNC | 27c | 298.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed TNC | 43c | 287.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed megoshort | 60c | 284.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed megoshort | 57c | 246.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed TNC | 9c | 232.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked megoshort | 53c | 182.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked megoshort | 63c | 132.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked TNC | 48c | 129.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed megoshort | 33c | 124.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked megoshort | 33c | 105.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed megoshort | 61c | 104.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed TNC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed megoshort | 63c | 89.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked megoshort | 59c | 84.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…4f84backed TNC | 34c | 84.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed TNC | 32c | 81.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed TNC | 46c | 77.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed megoshort | 50c | 69.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked TNC | 50c | 67.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed megoshort | 33c | 66.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed TNC | 50c | 61.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed megoshort | 60c | 60.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TNC | 37c | 59.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked megoshort | 66c | 56.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked megoshort | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TNC | 24c | 43.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked TNC | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed TNC | 61c | 40.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked megoshort | 53c | 37.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…09bfbacked TNC | 50c | 34.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed megoshort | 50c | 33.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed megoshort | 62c | 33.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed megoshort | 37c | 33.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 55c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked TNC | 48c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed megoshort | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs TNC - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.