TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c144,884$72,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,442.261,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over50c112,894$56,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,932.5811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c91,189$45,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,586.4387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under49c42,319$20,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,582.777650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over48c7,542$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,620.1313946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,639$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under46c3,308$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.88429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under50c3,013$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.8614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c2,787$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.791,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4fd…b5afbacked Under50c2,654$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under49c2,523$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.727852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c2,104$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.612,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c2,101$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.882,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under49c1,881$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.2823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,816$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under49c1,682$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.625947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under50c1,655$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.3414338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb579…d7d0backed Under49c1,583$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over48c1,525$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over50c1,508$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.355269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under43c1,313$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9620536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over5c1,308$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7911033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,300$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c1,230$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.91,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under48c1,084$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.531,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c1,070$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.911,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c6…1b67backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over50c990.38$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1927241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.591850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c965.7$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.5458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c963.77$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.61,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c959.94$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.7529849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c947.6$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Over48c929$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.928248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under52c928.08$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.384667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43bf…425abacked Over50c911.8$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.91656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over55c834.55$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.723,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under52c793$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6410252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Over50c739.44$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.729550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c650.06$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c607.36$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.7519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over50c601.4$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.710457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.362568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c554.67$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c504.24$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5fb…9df5backed Over48c503.6$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.731540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c454$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c422.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under53c367.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.522047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Over7c357$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c321.39$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under53c309.88$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over50c296.84$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c260$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over50c255.55$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7729243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c249.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.461,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under50c232.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under75c223.21$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.461,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c220.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under57c214.16$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0935049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…7863backed Over43c206.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Under53c204.04$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.734839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c197.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c151.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.023,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…a99fbacked Over50c142.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.256648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c133$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.32,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c127.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.821,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under52c121.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.279854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6a…5304backed Over50c118.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c115.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under51c114.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.958657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over43c112.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2815855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c108.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.643,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over25c108.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c108.11$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c11…1f93backed Over53c107.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked Over52c104.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.322650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under50c104.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91a…4ea7backed Over50c100.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.442231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.514444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c96.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5153453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.593253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c88.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under52c88.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3414852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under52c83.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9115252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under30c82.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6611826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c81.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4022942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over51c78.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.027647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce66…e993backed Over51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa363…4812backed Over52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.852263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.