TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pacers54c4,618$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.1572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers54c3,199$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.41,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers44c2,848$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Cavaliers46c2,756$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.569447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Cavaliers46c2,399$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.537650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers45c2,115$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Cavaliers45c1,882$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.8624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers26c1,103$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.151,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pacers55c907.47$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…24efbacked Pacers78c680.89$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.85655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers45c655.73$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.921,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Pacers71c567.42$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3733258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Cavaliers38c528.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3323435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers45c525.64$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Pacers56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2419258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Pacers65c418.24$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.398851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Cavaliers45c379.52$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Pacers55c370.26$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6211346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pacers56c360.21$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pacers55c353.95$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pacers55c353.24$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers55c347.09$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.763,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pacers57c345.82$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.981,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers47c344.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.252,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Cavaliers46c337.95$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.464839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Cavaliers46c315.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.144852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Pacers55c314.29$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.714852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Pacers56c309.11$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8919550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers46c304.34$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers45c296.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Pacers55c287.26$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.647047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers45c249.83$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.431,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pacers56c236.02$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pacers55c212.29$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5336248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Cavaliers48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8820552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Pacers52c196.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pacers54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Pacers54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pacers55c188.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers45c178.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Pacers55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6111261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Pacers55c159.63$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pacers56c158.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Pacers56c150.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6212752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pacers56c150.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pacers55c150.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers45c147.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.42,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Cavaliers46c146.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pacers56c144.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers26c131.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Pacers55c127.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc901…2fcabacked Pacers78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Cavaliers48c122.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0417740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Pacers56c119.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers35c116.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.811,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pacers55c114.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Pacers56c111.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.874667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Cavaliers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde51…b01ebacked Pacers57c99.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.944240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Pacers56c99.72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Cavaliers44c98.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pacers57c97.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.711,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Pacers54c88.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.712845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Pacers55c87.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.416346%29 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Pacers55c83.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5757051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers54c82.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.021,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Pacers55c81.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.585550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Pacers55c81.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.525049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Pacers55c80.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.439958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Pacers57c77.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5137253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Pacers57c77.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.511947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers46c74.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.361,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Pacers55c71.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0813052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Pacers55c63.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.464755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Cavaliers45c59.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9813038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Cavaliers24c54.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8662047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Cavaliers44c53.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers43c52.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.641,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers38c51.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Pacers55c51.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1215252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pacers53c46.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.921,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e5…008cbacked Pacers63c46.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942d…6c4ebacked Pacers55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers55c41.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pacers54c40.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers56c37.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Pacers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.367450%37 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0403…29d4backed Pacers54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.571450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Pacers55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9211447.4%54 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904c…1bebbacked Pacers55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…803abacked Pacers55c35.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.915062%31 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Cavaliers45c34.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bae…e81ebacked Pacers55c33.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Cavaliers46c31.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.484930.6%15 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers54c30.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4180…692abacked Pacers68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Pacers54c28.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Cavaliers45c28.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6132450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Cavaliers45c27.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.