TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,898 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78bc…5616backed Pacers47c1,227$577 inWon+$650.0414745.6%67 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Cavaliers68c915.96$621 inLost-$620.6221848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers74c351.02$259 inLost-$259.291,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Cavaliers51c198.88$102 inLost-$102.3912541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers35c149.3$52 inWon+$97.295,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Pacers17c112.89$19 inWon+$93.8926545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6794…0a8bbacked Pacers33c105.3$35 inWon+$70.754221.4%9 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Cavaliers14c100$14 inLost-$1430224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Cavaliers14c100$14 inLost-$141513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2414…f34ebacked Cavaliers46c84.45$39 inLost-$38.93638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Cavaliers46c69.06$32 inLost-$32.026553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Cavaliers50c62$31 inLost-$3127251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pacers31c54.34$17 inWon+$37.550651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Pacers50c48.62$24 inWon+$24.3155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x217f…b8ccbacked Cavaliers31c46.38$14 inLost-$14.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Cavaliers63c41.65$26 inLost-$26.2337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Cavaliers54c40.81$22 inLost-$22.0415662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Pacers44c37.58$16 inWon+$21.1510028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7379…7b1fbacked Pacers47c30.9$15 inWon+$16.38955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…5257backed Cavaliers69c24.32$17 inLost-$16.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Pacers43c23.47$10 inWon+$13.384761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Cavaliers78c20.24$16 inLost-$15.795056%28 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Cavaliers62c17.78$11 inLost-$11.02862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.