TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Pacers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,219,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,444,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,219,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Pacers9c452,977$40,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,019.7411137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers9c50,393$4,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.6970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers20c39,235$7,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,750.612,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Cavaliers80c36,690$29,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.335064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers19c33,450$6,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,416.811,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca4b…521ebacked Pacers7c33,309$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Pacers11c26,819$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.886651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers8c24,140$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.171,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers7c23,495$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.7147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Pacers8c21,696$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers17c19,636$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.563,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Pacers17c18,531$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.2810860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers1c16,893$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.235213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9027…5954backed Pacers19c15,556$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.271020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Pacers29c15,010$4,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.293151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Pacers2c14,014$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0915219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Pacers8c11,952$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.143855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb20c…a992backed Pacers0c11,453$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1520…0ddfbacked Pacers8c10,270$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.441963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers7c9,888$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Pacers8c9,448$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.848429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers77c9,407$7,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers7c9,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers7c8,465$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pacers15c8,306$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.9438143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pacers8c8,256$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.4924247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers8c8,218$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.111,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers0c8,127$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.034573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Pacers12c7,893$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.22240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…68b1backed Pacers10c7,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pacers7c7,460$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2235251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers7c7,437$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.5765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers17c7,225$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.7666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Pacers12c7,150$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.465616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Cavaliers72c7,111$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.417147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers7c7,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers7c6,893$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pacers7c6,600$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46223742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Pacers0c6,422$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.551030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Pacers18c6,242$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.798846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pacers8c6,188$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Pacers26c5,613$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.9720843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Pacers19c5,584$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.095740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Pacers19c5,007$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.46357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Pacers9c5,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.989749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Pacers7c4,954$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2521350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Pacers20c4,933$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.566341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c4,400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.988820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Pacers17c3,989$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.711040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd74c…03f5backed Pacers24c3,970$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.421656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32f…b708backed Pacers11c3,796$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers7c3,232$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Pacers20c3,185$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.1224937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…77aabacked Pacers8c3,100$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Cavaliers70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90012756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e5b…073bbacked Pacers25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…4fdcbacked Pacers8c2,953$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.22937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Cavaliers76c2,632$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.9912142.1%51 W · 70 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Pacers12c2,632$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8210836.1%39 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3011…43d9backed Pacers8c2,600$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Pacers7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Pacers8c2,494$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0816842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Pacers7c2,467$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.686628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pacers7c2,466$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3815140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers76c2,425$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.451,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Pacers4c2,356$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2411235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Cavaliers76c2,347$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.8116959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Pacers28c2,339$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.422937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Pacers0c2,300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers1c2,200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Pacers9c2,190$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.121850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Pacers7c2,165$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6635546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Pacers24c2,147$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.6431345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pacers7c2,090$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.330947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f0…c7a9backed Pacers15c2,088$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Cavaliers65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7005453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Cavaliers77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609573.7%70 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Pacers6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Pacers19c1,991$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers78c1,920$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.321,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Pacers15c1,874$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Pacers7c1,800$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Pacers8c1,772$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.726817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f61…ea25backed Pacers7c1,744$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.082045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Pacers7c1,741$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.65141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Cavaliers77c1,739$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.89347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…ecc4backed Pacers1c1,658$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Pacers21c1,594$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3910144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ca8…62d0backed Pacers6c1,593$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers7c1,564$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.511,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Cavaliers77c1,479$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.2413245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers76c1,428$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.895,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Pacers7c1,420$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.422036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Pacers20c1,410$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.355633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Pacers17c1,378$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.229628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers75c1,352$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.7389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1391…8b78backed Pacers7c1,348$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Pacers8c1,329$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6245838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Pacers8c1,272$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9518336.6%67 W · 116 L+0.8wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf9…6370backed Pacers8c1,240$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.232733.9%111 W · 216 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.