TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c3d…3735backed Over49c18,719$9,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,228.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c7,374$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.093,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c6,260$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.622,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,500$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5851,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over47c3,981$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.429440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c3,350$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under42c3,323$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.741,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c2,310$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under53c2,301$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.4722948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under53c2,041$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.171850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under52c1,494$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.198844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Under69c1,423$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.67444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c1,251$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4320647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Under41c1,230$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.892339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under38c1,194$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.2831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c1,023$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under61c993.87$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6160444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c964.25$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under54c943.07$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3342348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over52c893.08$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.7619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f0…c7a9backed Over45c802.74$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over69c728.53$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over47c715.29$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.198654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under36c700$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44840041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under54c672.13$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0233258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under49c595.43$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6414549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under51c534$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c527.86$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under47c450.39$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under57c385.33$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.794667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under37c384.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under57c344.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.211,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under57c334.14$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c333.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under54c315.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.211,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under46c305.14$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.746860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Under45c296.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.852123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c295.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over25c289.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1211033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c264.78$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Over39c250.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.787247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c221$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over56c210.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.996950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e06…6077backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under50c194.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9513345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over52c186.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2222047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c170.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Over46c168.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.418545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under43c167.42$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under54c167.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9411253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under57c162.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over53c161.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over34c150.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.513,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c150.15$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.482,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under54c144.89$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6540344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88af…a083backed Under41c143.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c138.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c138.24$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under53c136.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c135.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.161,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under57c134$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under53c121.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c118.88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e1…77acbacked Under41c116.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over61c112.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3613554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over57c111.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.833633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Under55c107.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.075550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Under36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6458754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Under55c99.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5817342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4711558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over53c97.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.791428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under56c93.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3611346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.098644.2%38 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under57c90.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0101…3728backed Over51c89.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Under49c85.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.397652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under36c84.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.333647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Under34c84.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.932277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.7wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over53c75.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over45c73.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…07aebacked Under34c72.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.13036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bde…52cabacked Under54c71.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.122657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under53c68.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.310753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c67.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over62c63.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Over46c63.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.246553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c61.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under54c58.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8430256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.