NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5557292c392f5f08bcb28be66cc3c3ff4044113181b8891662bab3b958d41b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 77,524$38,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,586.2 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 52c | 68,170$35,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,805.67 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Cavaliers | 48c | 59,430$28,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,526.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Pacers | 50c | 52,935$26,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,467.43 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 51c | 11,821$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,792.26 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Cavaliers | 43c | 4,991$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.92 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pacers | 51c | 4,847$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.17 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 23c | 4,571$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pacers | 50c | 3,945$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.41 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pacers | 52c | 3,887$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.35 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 50c | 3,658$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,501$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 75c | 2,961$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.2 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,789$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.83 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 51c | 2,029$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.97 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 37c | 1,752$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.03 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,579$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.74 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,505$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.35 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,332$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.42 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,298$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 59c | 1,072$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,033$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Cavaliers | 45c | 980.61$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.27 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cavaliers | 18c | 968.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Pacers | 49c | 965.05$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.17 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 833.46$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.23 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…21f2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 804.79$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 49c | 800.41$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.21 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Pacers | 52c | 729.87$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.24 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Pacers | 49c | 714.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pacers | 53c | 623.93$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.25 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 615$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Cavaliers | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pacers | 50c | 579.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 49c | 567.83$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.15 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 567.82$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Pacers | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Cavaliers | 50c | 482.96$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Pacers | 69c | 427.26$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers | 46c | 418$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 417.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Cavaliers | 45c | 415.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers | 49c | 404$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Cavaliers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pacers | 51c | 392.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…2eadbacked Pacers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Cavaliers | 33c | 363.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…a940backed Cavaliers | 51c | 363$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pacers | 54c | 346.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Cavaliers | 30c | 282.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 18c | 280.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 30c | 270.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Cavaliers | 30c | 270.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 35c | 268.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pacers | 51c | 236.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 48c | 233.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 220.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Pacers | 53c | 216.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Cavaliers | 47c | 203.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Pacers | 51c | 190.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Cavaliers | 45c | 176.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Pacers | 54c | 174.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 168.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pacers | 51c | 154.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Cavaliers | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Pacers | 74c | 133.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Pacers | 57c | 121.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers | 48c | 118.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Cavaliers | 26c | 116.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Pacers | 51c | 116.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers | 23c | 110.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 103.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Pacers | 53c | 100.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…9544backed Cavaliers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 303 | 58.7%178 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pacers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Pacers | 55c | 99.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pacers | 50c | 97.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Pacers | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Pacers | 48c | 97.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Cavaliers | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Cavaliers | 48c | 96.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Pacers | 61c | 89.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Pacers | 77c | 89.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Pacers | 57c | 88.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 22c | 88.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cavaliers | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Cavaliers | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Cavaliers | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Pacers | 51c | 59.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 679 | 49.8%338 W · 341 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…7c5abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 57.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Pacers won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Pacers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 251.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.