TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x010f…6c1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$104.14
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.35
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$93.88
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$153.97
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$381.82
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$116.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$108.47
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.14
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.62
Netherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.34
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Colombia vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$147.18
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$129.7
Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$64.18
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$73.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.97
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$72.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$21.2
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$187.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.09
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick58cpaid-75.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$43.74
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$27.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$69.21
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.