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Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under40c7,720$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.935655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over60c5,280$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.285952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c4,645$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c2,447$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.931,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over60c2,122$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.67650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Under9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over60c1,671$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.8443248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under65c1,375$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under45c1,341$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.932441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c1,319$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.336850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under3c1,277$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.84263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over58c1,144$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.295655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Under50c997.4$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.73455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over60c899.8$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…459cbacked Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over61c822.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.612744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.672646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over59c799.95$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c702.2$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.952,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.742250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under17c648.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9515646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c551.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Over80c478.48$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.79052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c429.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.678734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over60c416.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.662254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de5…00ccbacked Under49c409.55$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c403.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.313,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over60c384.27$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over25c378.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.224528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over58c364.38$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3822652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over58c347.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.182254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked Under43c339.88$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Over55c299.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.984440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under40c278$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.213643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under41c267.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.852937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over50c249.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under40c248.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c244.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under40c237.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8350850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c215.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7946536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…59afbacked Under47c212.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c210.53$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.423,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c201.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6730836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e9…c69cbacked Over57c187.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over52c186$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2819047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over60c169.72$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.267350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under41c158.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9121444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over60c150.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.321540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c139.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.392,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.336048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under43c131.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over28c124.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.697532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over52c122.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.975550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81c…ce77backed Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under43c114.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3417158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under41c113.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9843653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under45c110.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504727.7%13 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under43c105.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7824653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018d…4fdabacked Over60c100.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4019958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7015945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under43c99.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.998237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over55c99.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9831046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over58c99.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.98944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over55c91.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3936329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over54c91.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.972646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a3…1701backed Over60c87.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over60c83.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.213056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over59c80.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7521630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under44c75.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4525554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under44c75.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4521953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under40c74.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9916758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2720…7549backed Under40c68.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over60c68.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.338158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1923…121ebacked Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under41c63.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2917553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under42c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.463050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under41c62.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6523751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under45c54.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.533847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under45c54.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.539351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Under44c53.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.583844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.915952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa43a…8b10backed Under45c50.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.762445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under45c50.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7615448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Over59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7946…387fbacked Over26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+111.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016629.5%49 W · 117 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa977…f09dbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2082340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.