Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x652f16c8bb80724216d11c25fd5e568f53a2e5bb5af52310e4fa18cfa967ea16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 64c | 3,274$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 63c | 2,669$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.69 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,448$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 1,924$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.86 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 41c | 1,373$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Over | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.15 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 64c | 1,011$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.06 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Over | 40c | 746.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 741.79$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.66 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 40c | 732.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 694.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 37c | 636.95$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.28 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 37c | 545.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.5 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 38c | 513.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 33c | 499.94$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 63c | 464.55$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.67 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 35c | 335.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 34c | 278.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Under | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 19c | 200$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 63c | 198.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 197.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 171.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 38c | 156.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 18c | 146.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 38c | 141.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 40c | 112.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 62c | 89.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 34c | 76.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…8b6abacked Over | 20c | 61.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…c741backed Over | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…35d5backed Over | 32c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…8ffabacked Over | 34c | 45.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 65c | 38.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 65c | 38.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 65c | 32.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 36c | 29.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 70c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 64c | 25.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 64c | 24.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 65c | 21.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…690abacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…7399backed Under | 66c | 16.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 75c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Over | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.