TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c4,336$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.261,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c3,404$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No39c3,250$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.6146536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes62c2,393$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.8143248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No36c1,917$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.8936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc6…f773backed No38c1,820$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03fd…83f7backed Yes65c1,542$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes63c1,161$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.461921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No38c1,040$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.25635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes64c984.97$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.581353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…bde1backed Yes64c932.59$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes66c911.42$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.882646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Yes62c800.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.141070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Yes63c766.48$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.69467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes60c604.67$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.871553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No37c592.67$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.844,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713e…f595backed Yes64c582.2$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.361338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes64c535.8$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.862,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked No41c521.36$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Yes64c471.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes63c395.06$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1714061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes60c333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes62c323.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2113148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes64c314.17$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1731520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes64c312.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5822652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No36c304.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes63c285.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Yes62c257$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No36c245.79$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.483,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes64c235.64$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.833243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes61c207.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.143066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes50c199.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes62c178.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7421630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes63c150.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7915853.2%84 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes77c143.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.554173.2%30 W · 11 L+11.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+78.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes64c136.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.192352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Yes63c135.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.113066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes61c118.07$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.052944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…3100backed Yes63c105.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.831346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1715645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Yes55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes62c98.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4131147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7518769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes63c84.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.133262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes62c64.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3723544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b5…34abbacked Yes62c61.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.292339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce0f…29dabacked Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes63c55.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6310156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No38c55.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x481a…8a59backed Yes64c50.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.397464.9%48 W · 26 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes63c48.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8612128.1%34 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes63c44.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4415046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked No50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed No37c42.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Yes63c41.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x036f…0dc1backed Yes63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.686446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.065660.7%34 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…fe66backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…d872backed No41c35.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes60c35.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1d…95adbacked Yes60c32.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a99…9aa6backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc8…4676backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked No50c30.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b5f…3269backed Yes55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes52c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47250%36 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Yes61c29.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No40c26.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No40c26.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0107…726dbacked Yes60c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1912744.1%56 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5e…75c5backed Yes65c22.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x616e…a666backed Yes60c20.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.052572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe4…fa32backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x101f…e4e8backed Yes63c19.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes63c19.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0527254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e70…205ebacked Yes60c18.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes63c17.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.455664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.