TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b5f…3269

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,438.5%+$187
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$27.86
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$51.06
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$37.34
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$33.23
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66.32
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Panama win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.91
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$39.47
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+27.2%+$34.04
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-61.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.