TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No30c90,000$27,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,299.9821237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes48c25,405$12,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,210.647848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c15,642$5,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,124.23,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes73c9,585$6,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.0124557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes47c6,999$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes54c5,517$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No50c4,241$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.5915151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes51c4,075$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.373354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes47c3,233$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.244454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No50c2,867$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No52c2,483$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.983444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c1,947$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No49c1,814$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.7215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c1,660$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.322,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No13c1,513$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.674860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x04ea…d556backed Yes48c1,245$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No48c1,077$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2420042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.311844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes46c999.93$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+125.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No52c982.6$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked No53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes50c917.32$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes49c780.24$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes49c679.59$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+157.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No49c676.97$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.716949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Yes48c670$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes50c628$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3141145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Yes50c604.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.971540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes52c540.49$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd764…5e02backed Yes48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes46c499.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.56650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26510539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c487$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4314740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa306…d699backed Yes49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.166637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No3c361.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No50c359.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.974746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes73c352$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No52c335$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.29265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes54c300.42$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0215376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c299.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes49c285.77$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes49c280.2$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.91844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes49c265$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.158743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes52c254.29$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Yes49c250.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0511644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c228$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes51c211.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.693852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9b…d718backed Yes48c209.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes48c208.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes49c203.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.721643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes50c201.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.971729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3b…3ebfbacked No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes57c175.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed No50c168.78$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No52c167.01$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6410143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes55c166.93$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.123762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.72240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes51c135.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.415459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…d8adbacked No14c113.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes54c108$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes47c105.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.788138.3%31 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…3bcebacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Yes49c101.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5f…3269backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No52c87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4518145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Yes49c85.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+210.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a95…bb94backed Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.923826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed No53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+63.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Yes48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9613666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3303…03afbacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked No50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.