Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0f23243a874e298ba71aa0f7ddcadb287c3352e03441a81df9dc557bb00c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c23…3809backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 3,526$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.29 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 2,809$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 25c | 2,265$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.26 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Yes | 26c | 2,150$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,050$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 25c | 1,998$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,579$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed No | 75c | 1,403$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,358$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.37 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 74c | 1,067$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 73c | 548.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 30c | 336.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed No | 75c | 306.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 75c | 266.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 17c | 251$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 25c | 196$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…0bfdbacked No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…122dbacked No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…b001backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 151$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 74c | 143.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked No | 74c | 142.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 140.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f1…8dddbacked Yes | 26c | 123.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 27c | 118.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…d8b2backed No | 79c | 68.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 79c | 53.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed No | 75c | 49.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 27c | 43.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 27c | 39.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…8b84backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 79c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…0dc6backed No | 74c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.