TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a75…ed14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 59 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+525%+$210
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$341
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$145.06
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40%+$65.17
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+179.3%+$670.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$80.06
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$378
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+63.3%+$260.17
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+150%+$49.5
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$21.33
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$40.33
Will Girona win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Girona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$47.68
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+168.9%+$87.83
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$111.79
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$297
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$48.75
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$83
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+79.6%+$377.3
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$90.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$86.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$173
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$888.89
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$23.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$55.59
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.95
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.95
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$18.74
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$190.82
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick36cpaid+75.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+84.9%+$84.95
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Lynx vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$15.86
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.