La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6c9050741d1a87d1d36eb56898c4bff4de8a7578bf1b7477266daa206d5b5f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 8,700$6,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,452.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.96 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 2,167$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.93 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 34c | 1,108$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,020$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.21 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 28c | 725.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.47 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 640$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.2 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 636.88$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 567.2$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.38 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 29c | 530$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 441.12$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 71c | 400.69$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 50c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 73c | 287.46$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 255.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 32c | 250.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Yes | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 63c | 130.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…e3e9backed Yes | 74c | 120.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 104.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…62c8backed No | 70c | 79.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 72c | 64.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Yes | 72c | 52.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…1bdfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 37c | 42.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…9b91backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…96a6backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will Girona win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.