La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf119f85b20a3414c324dfa6dfe4d61c7e0b04cb9836c985e3cde2e10ff8e903b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 5,495$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.05 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 3,464$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.41 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 2,770$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.41 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 19c | 2,518$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,432$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.3 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Yes | 2c | 2,085$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,910$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.15 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 59c | 1,638$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.42 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 1,308$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.74 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 18c | 765.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 682.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.96 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 600.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 50c | 566.8$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.73 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 53c | 541.41$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 26c | 511.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 15c | 477.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 32c | 427$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 357.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 80c | 221$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…b32ebacked No | 51c | 218.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…64a7backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 57c | 176$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 23c | 154.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Yes | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 15c | 122.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…9bf3backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 38c | 104.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…5386backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…cbe5backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 50c | 62.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked No | 33c | 60.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 54.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 51c | 52.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Yes | 54c | 50.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…33b2backed Yes | 50c | 40.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…9e2fbacked No | 51c | 39.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 33.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Yes | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Girona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Girona win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.