TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccd4…b75b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-41.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.77
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.6%+$8.08
Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+101.6%+$25.17
Trail Blazers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.77
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$44.59
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.77
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.1%+$15.26
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.82
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.98
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.82
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.86
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.41
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.64
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.15
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.65
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.36
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+227.7%+$78.98
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.01
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.73
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.19
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.73
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Emiliana Arangobacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.39
Jiangxi Open: Ella Seidel vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$14.77
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$26.58
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.25
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.55
Jiangxi Open: Yue Yuan vs Elena Pridankinabacked Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$8.01
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sofia Kenin vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.37
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$31.79
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.34
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+145.7%+$28.88
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Yafan Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.69
Jiangxi Open: Hanyu Guo vs Alina Korneevabacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.21
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.95
Guangzhou Open: Katie Volynets vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$16.41
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.74
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+103.5%+$58.14
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$45.25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$12.47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$19.58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$42.39
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.37
Will Napoli vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forestbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.82
Auburn vs. Arkansasbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$22.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+400%+$79.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$8.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$104.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.