NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b7c019ae0ff0c267e58d9047b22c9e8e62fa097c0b0b95a585cabc94bf9ef31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $756,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $801,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Golden Knights | 53c | 149,498$78,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,823.03 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 47c | 90,296$42,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,856.72 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 32c | 90,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,199.97 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 47c | 56,492$26,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,940.62 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Golden Knights | 66c | 42,169$27,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,786.59 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Golden Knights | 5c | 39,913$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.13 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Golden Knights | 53c | 37,777$20,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,021.81 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lightning | 48c | 30,600$14,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,912 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 53c | 27,211$14,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,411.83 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Golden Knights | 40c | 22,831$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 55c | 20,010$11,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.47 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Lightning | 45c | 17,524$7,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,628.06 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 57c | 17,293$9,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lightning | 47c | 15,633$7,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.39 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Golden Knights | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.99 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…0a2dbacked Lightning | 25c | 14,800$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +200%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd4…15d8backed Golden Knights | 75c | 14,800$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Golden Knights | 70c | 13,722$9,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,598.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 47c | 13,699$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.28 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Lightning | 30c | 13,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lightning | 58c | 11,173$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.96 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Golden Knights | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Golden Knights | 55c | 9,937$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.56 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 54c | 8,750$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lightning | 47c | 8,240$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.19 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 48c | 8,000$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 52c | 7,751$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.11 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Golden Knights | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 50c | 7,223$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 47c | 7,183$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Lightning | 46c | 6,571$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.39 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 63c | 6,160$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.03 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 53c | 5,239$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.23 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 47c | 5,223$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.24 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 57c | 5,099$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 4,322$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.01 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Golden Knights | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Lightning | 46c | 4,100$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.97 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 4,066$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.76 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Golden Knights | 52c | 4,000$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.88 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Golden Knights | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc300…9227backed Golden Knights | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…324fbacked Lightning | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Golden Knights | 53c | 3,892$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.53 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Lightning | 47c | 3,681$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.67 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Lightning | 39c | 3,342$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 46c | 3,226$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.34 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Lightning | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Lightning | 65c | 2,896$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.9 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Lightning | 40c | 2,840$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.16 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 66c | 2,578$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.75 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 13c | 2,398$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,165$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.47 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lightning | 46c | 2,136$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.77 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 2,122$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,113$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.02 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 2,111$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…140bbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 2,056$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…061ebacked Lightning | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…aaa1backed Lightning | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…26a4backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Golden Knights | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…ccefbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…49dbbacked Lightning | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…a044backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,858$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.98 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,601$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.07 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,597$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.3 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…0c90backed Lightning | 46c | 1,447$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,300$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,297$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.41 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lightning | 50c | 1,164$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.44 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,132$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.02 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Golden Knights | 68c | 1,102$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.66 | 156 | 58.3%91 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,094$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Lightning | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Lightning | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Lightning | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Golden Knights | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lightning | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Golden Knights | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lightning | 47c | 951$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.03 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Golden Knights | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Golden Knights | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Lightning vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.