TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb52d…95ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST5141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$323.08
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$833.9
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$122.38
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,400
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$774
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,140
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.6%+$412.7
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$557.14
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,127.66
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$59.34
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$102.48
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Predators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+75.7%+$227.1
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,130
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$161.54
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST3961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Hawaii vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Cincinnati vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Arkansas State vs. Troybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wake Forest vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Arizona vs. Coloradobacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Kentucky vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Wyoming vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
East Carolina vs. Templebacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Mississippi State vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UAB Blazers vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Virginia vs. Californiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
New Mexico State vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Central Michigan vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Statebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
New Mexico vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,079.99
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$435
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$704.35
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$503.99
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+94.5%+$1,039.06
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$606
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$819
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,004.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+63.9%+$639.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.3%+$443.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.