College Football · resolved market
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8258d4a887422d021f0424d4bd0b0824b292d9be815f605a2225c8cc8df636a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi Stateof Mississippi State, Arkansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mississippi State | 33c | 50,733$16,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,991.16 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mississippi State | 36c | 19,882$7,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,781.06 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Arkansas | 65c | 12,775$8,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,295.93 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas | 56c | 8,398$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.02 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arkansas | 25c | 8,085$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arkansas | 64c | 7,752$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.46 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas | 62c | 6,221$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.24 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Mississippi State | 35c | 4,971$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas | 62c | 4,619$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.16 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Arkansas | 65c | 4,247$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.29 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Arkansas | 76c | 4,173$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arkansas | 41c | 3,994$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.61 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State | 11c | 3,986$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.15 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas | 80c | 3,927$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.74 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas | 64c | 3,771$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.37 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Arkansas | 76c | 3,626$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.4 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Mississippi State | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.98 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Mississippi State | 41c | 2,581$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Mississippi State | 37c | 2,112$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Mississippi State | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas | 64c | 1,800$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.38 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arkansas | 68c | 1,733$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.45 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Mississippi State | 34c | 1,528$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.73 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Mississippi State | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Mississippi State | 32c | 1,476$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.24 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mississippi State | 17c | 1,420$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.31 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…db05backed Mississippi State | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…9286backed Arkansas | 65c | 1,388$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas | 74c | 1,346$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.15 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Mississippi State | 37c | 1,342$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Arkansas | 53c | 1,262$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.23 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Arkansas | 64c | 1,140$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.83 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Mississippi State | 38c | 991$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.42 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas | 64c | 863$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.32 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Arkansas | 45c | 807.2$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.81 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Mississippi State | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Mississippi State | 21c | 584.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…ac60backed Mississippi State | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mississippi State | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mississippi State | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Mississippi State | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed Mississippi State | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Mississippi State | 35c | 380$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Arkansas | 66c | 374$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mississippi State | 44c | 372$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mississippi State | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Arkansas | 71c | 350$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Arkansas | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Mississippi State | 36c | 330$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mississippi State | 67c | 309$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Mississippi State | 31c | 300$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arkansas | 65c | 299.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Mississippi State | 40c | 230.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arkansas | 71c | 230$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…59e7backed Mississippi State | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mississippi State | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Mississippi State | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State | 35c | 194$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…2597backed Mississippi State | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arkansas | 63c | 156.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Arkansas | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mississippi State | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Mississippi State | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Arkansas | 73c | 146.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arkansas | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Mississippi State | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Arkansas | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…183dbacked Arkansas | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Arkansas | 66c | 99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Mississippi State | 27c | 93.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Arkansas | 66c | 91.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Mississippi State | 32c | 87.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Mississippi State | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arkansas | 74c | 80.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mississippi State | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Arkansas | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Mississippi State | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Mississippi State | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Mississippi State | 24c | 62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…2e01backed Arkansas | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Arkansas | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Mississippi State | 36c | 59.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Mississippi State | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…b2b7backed Mississippi State | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mississippi State | 34c | 52.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mississippi State | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…93eebacked Arkansas | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Arkansas | 75c | 31.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d28…ad63backed Arkansas | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d53…3635backed Arkansas | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Arkansas | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…f618backed Arkansas | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansasthis page
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas: O/U 66.5Over won
- O/U 67.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas (-4.5)Mississippi State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.