TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b79…3c8c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Golf, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST12843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Vikings (-10.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rams (-13.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Broncos (-12.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rams (-8.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Saints (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bengals (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.8%+$52.42
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7650%38 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,578.79
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$178.49
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+163.7%+$326.69
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$181.94
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$129.94
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$1,179.1
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+106.6%+$106.63
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$384.31
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Spread: Oregon (-9.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,793Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,409.08
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Penn State (-7.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Spread: Oregon State (-2.5)backed Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Oregon (-6.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona vs. Coloradobacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Wyoming vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Mississippi State vs. Arkansasbacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
Virginia vs. Californiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$116.37
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.24
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-25.5)backed Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.44
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$87.91
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.44
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.44
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 5 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$479.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.