TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jaguarsof Jaguars, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$878,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$918,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Titans52c727,059$380,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380,182.1611145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars48c261,831$125,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,000.3686547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Jaguars48c160,000$76,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,199.993850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Jaguars47c116,580$55,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,367.427454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Jaguars47c70,000$32,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,10011445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Titans52c61,081$31,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,562.988747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jaguars47c41,966$19,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,240.936764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Jaguars47c31,303$14,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,590.419359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars48c28,066$13,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,536.7273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jaguars51c13,499$6,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.5450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jaguars47c11,669$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,184.5777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Jaguars48c10,420$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.771952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Titans52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Jaguars47c7,777$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.817655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Titans52c7,600$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9522152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jaguars47c7,529$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.2330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars49c7,292$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.7447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Titans53c6,042$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.2619645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Jaguars48c5,750$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Jaguars49c5,643$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.864456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Jaguars48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.3318650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jaguars49c3,470$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.2931543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jaguars49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Jaguars48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5603053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Titans53c2,391$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.0310648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jaguars48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0405352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jaguars49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02020757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jaguars47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0607152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Titans50c1,680$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9351352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jaguars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jaguars58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Titans50c1,495$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Jaguars48c1,265$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.161963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jaguars48c1,043$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.8275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Titans51c841$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9153348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd1e…68a5backed Jaguars48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Titans52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Titans54c762.96$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4126738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Jaguars44c750$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.54555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Jaguars48c722.79$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7910547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Jaguars49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35714151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Jaguars49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.248451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Jaguars49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2416648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Jaguars50c600.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7911748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Jaguars49c588.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.338856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Titans53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Jaguars69c540.85$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4219651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Titans53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26514945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Jaguars51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.25947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans50c473.18$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.141,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Jaguars64c400.04$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.013151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Titans52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Jaguars50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jaguars46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.219240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Titans54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Titans49c350$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.560%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…bfddbacked Jaguars48c333.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Jaguars47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.157550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Jaguars48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.58639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Jaguars49c304.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.081030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Titans50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Titans50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Jaguars48c262.25$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0620354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Titans51c260$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Jaguars49c255.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Titans37c249.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9214158.9%83 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Titans50c240.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.076756.7%38 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Titans52c219.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.23040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a20…341cbacked Titans46c214.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Titans51c211$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6114641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Jaguars49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Jaguars52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Titans49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Jaguars48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.511650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Jaguars51c175.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Jaguars49c172.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.063253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Jaguars50c166.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Titans53c143.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jaguars48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.835648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Titans46c139$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7832043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Jaguars47c116.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.110252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d9…1c24backed Jaguars48c116.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Titans17c115.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Jaguars47c113.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.414143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Jaguars48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1716243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Jaguars50c100.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.25044%22 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Jaguars61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Titans50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Jaguars75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Titans51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde68…0d0fbacked Jaguars48c85.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Jaguars47c74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2210256.9%58 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Jaguars50c67.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Jaguars44c67.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.438640.7%35 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Titans55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.734247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Titans53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25c…2bdcbacked Titans54c56.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Titans52c55.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8220944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Titans52c54.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4212748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Jaguars48c53.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.