NFL · resolved market
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3d04ab66a4fd0691cafaca1824d4dc358894a21a68dfef016d9da2a808df89f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $918,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Titans | 52c | 727,059$380,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380,182.16 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars | 48c | 261,831$125,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,000.36 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Jaguars | 48c | 160,000$76,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,199.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Jaguars | 47c | 116,580$55,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,367.4 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Jaguars | 47c | 70,000$32,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,100 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Titans | 52c | 61,081$31,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,562.98 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Jaguars | 47c | 41,966$19,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,240.93 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Jaguars | 47c | 31,303$14,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,590.41 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars | 48c | 28,066$13,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,536.72 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jaguars | 51c | 13,499$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.54 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jaguars | 47c | 11,669$5,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.57 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Jaguars | 48c | 10,420$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Titans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Jaguars | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.81 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Titans | 52c | 7,600$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jaguars | 47c | 7,529$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.23 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars | 49c | 7,292$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.74 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Titans | 53c | 6,042$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.26 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Jaguars | 48c | 5,750$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Jaguars | 49c | 5,643$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.86 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Jaguars | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jaguars | 49c | 3,470$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.29 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jaguars | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Jaguars | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Titans | 53c | 2,391$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.03 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Jaguars | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jaguars | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jaguars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Titans | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.93 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jaguars | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Jaguars | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Titans | 50c | 1,495$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.73 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Jaguars | 48c | 1,265$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jaguars | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.82 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Titans | 51c | 841$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.91 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…68a5backed Jaguars | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Titans | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Titans | 54c | 762.96$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Jaguars | 44c | 750$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Jaguars | 48c | 722.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.79 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Jaguars | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Jaguars | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Jaguars | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Jaguars | 50c | 600.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.79 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Jaguars | 49c | 588.88$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.33 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Titans | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Jaguars | 69c | 540.85$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Titans | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Jaguars | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Titans | 50c | 473.18$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Jaguars | 64c | 400.04$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Titans | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Jaguars | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Jaguars | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Titans | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Titans | 49c | 350$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Jaguars | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Jaguars | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Jaguars | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Jaguars | 49c | 304.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Titans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Titans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Jaguars | 48c | 262.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Titans | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Jaguars | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Titans | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Titans | 50c | 240.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Titans | 52c | 219.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…341cbacked Titans | 46c | 214.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Titans | 51c | 211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Jaguars | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Jaguars | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Titans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Jaguars | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Jaguars | 51c | 175.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Jaguars | 49c | 172.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Jaguars | 50c | 166.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Titans | 53c | 143.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jaguars | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Titans | 46c | 139$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Jaguars | 47c | 116.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Jaguars | 48c | 116.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Titans | 17c | 115.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Jaguars | 47c | 113.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Jaguars | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Jaguars | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Jaguars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Titans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Jaguars | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Titans | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde68…0d0fbacked Jaguars | 48c | 85.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Jaguars | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Jaguars | 50c | 67.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Jaguars | 44c | 67.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Titans | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Titans | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…2bdcbacked Titans | 54c | 56.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Titans | 52c | 55.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Titans | 52c | 54.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Jaguars | 48c | 53.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)this page
- First Touchdown: Brenton StrangeNo Touchdown won
- Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-11.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)Jaguars won
- Titans vs. JaguarsJaguars won
- Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 43.5Over won
- Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5Over won
- Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5Over won
- Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5Over won
- Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
- Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 49.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.