TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9916…bcb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
437
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT18743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,384.38
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.69
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.99
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,963.96
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$318
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$424.53
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.54
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$566.67
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.59
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$202.53
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,186
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.07
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$800
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,346
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT6743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+105%+$1,241.11
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.48
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$406
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$750.51
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.61
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,666Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,055.09
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.45
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.75
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$89.93
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.25
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.43
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$398.99
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,424.45
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.01
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$117.23
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$187.53
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.46
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$193.38
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$73.07
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT5756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,287
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.9
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$114.5
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$629.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$481.25
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$299.25
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$117
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$325.5
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.92
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$369.25
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$139.26
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$317
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.51
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.46
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$423.99
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,404.49
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.73
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$266.61
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$927.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$299.87
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.29
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$258
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$155.1
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.11
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.13
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.57
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.77
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.22
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.98
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$239.95
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$21.12
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$36.14
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$2,212.85
Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$263.64
Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.54
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$325.04
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$831.88
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.85
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$284.62
Predators vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.88
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$416.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.74
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.23
Mexico to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.7
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.99
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,410
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,786Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,175.81
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,805.27
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.57
Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$174.2
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,678.17
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$892
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Guatemala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.89
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$551.33
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$1,344.68
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,208
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$147.08
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$61.77
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$418
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$378
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$169.7
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.3%+$310.31
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+41.5%+$264
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.12
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$330
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+27.3%+$155.63
Spread: Patriots (-33.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,060.53
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$186
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,132
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$254.2
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.92
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Julien LeBlanc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.99
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$209.26
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$301.77
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.77
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.98
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$667.26
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$194.48
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.37
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$68
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$133.2
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.4
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.69
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43%+$30.05
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.6
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.39
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.89
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+113.2%+$338.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.