UFC · resolved market
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x955619924a60e25aba7bbe9af2776a70627d5565927eab32aaa73e7f7fc9cf00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 72c | 5,445$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.87 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 29c | 5,174$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.99 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 22c | 3,003$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.7 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 72c | 2,907$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.61 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 74c | 2,290$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 73c | 1,998$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.48 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 73c | 1,945$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 76c | 1,839$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.48 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…9d7dbacked Yes | 25c | 935.44$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 74c | 586.93$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 26c | 544.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 541.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 74c | 474.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Yes | 29c | 440$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…6ab8backed Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 22c | 420$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 70c | 417.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yes | 26c | 390.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 28c | 346.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 72c | 339.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…a3d6backed Yes | 30c | 332.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 26c | 330.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 69c | 330$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 25c | 264.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 25c | 260.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…ee51backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…4145backed Yes | 24c | 216.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Yes | 29c | 209$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb20…0cf5backed Yes | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe310…0e9dbacked Yes | 28c | 202.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…1ecfbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked No | 76c | 185.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad4…3d4fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…4374backed Yes | 25c | 184$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 24c | 183.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6b…ebc9backed Yes | 29c | 167.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…1f18backed Yes | 31c | 162.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…3dfabacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Yes | 27c | 158.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…30edbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Yes | 26c | 155.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 26c | 154.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 75c | 149.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…51d6backed Yes | 30c | 148.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…19a6backed Yes | 29c | 139.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…8b88backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…26c3backed Yes | 30c | 132.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed No | 73c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…3c57backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…9a26backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…8e5bbacked Yes | 28c | 118.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 28c | 113.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…a5a9backed Yes | 29c | 112.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f6fabacked Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…3295backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…56a2backed Yes | 28c | 101.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…bc5dbacked Yes | 26c | 95.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…c822backed No | 76c | 92.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9ce5backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…dce5backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 78c | 87.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…2487backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Yes | 30c | 84.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 30c | 83.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 26c | 80.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…1445backed Yes | 14c | 77.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…1bd2backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…1992backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…07acbacked Yes | 28c | 72.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce3…40f3backed Yes | 28c | 67.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked No | 76c | 67.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…d3c7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…b1f9backed Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…0deebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 54.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…affbbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…f733backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 75c | 48.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…c1a3backed Yes | 28c | 40.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…9da5backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…e94abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski won
- Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.