TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9b7…60a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,026
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT32545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 325 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.61
Will Anthony Hernandez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.07
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Terrance Chatman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nasrat Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Stan Dorsainvil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$160.8
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$459.99
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$951.54
Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Esteban Ribovics win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74.37
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$413
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+115%+$894.97
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Lucas Fernando win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.48
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$208.98
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$340
UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Carol Foro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$510
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$487.02
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.31
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.61
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,785
Showing 25 of 325 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT22547.1%106 W · 119 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 225 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$291.96
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$648.37
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.19
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,109.93
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.84
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.99
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$802.59
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.54
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61%+$6,286
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$1,018.87
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,106.6
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$193.43
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$1,441.99
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$146.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.11
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$86.15
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$963
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$542.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,659.34
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,393.2
Showing 25 of 225 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT13747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,925
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,314.5
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.75
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$7,815.88
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,894.99
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,529.95
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$930.13
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$84.8
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.41
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,169.86
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$987.41
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.07
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+106%+$1,132
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$238
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.51
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.88
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.2
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.98
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.75
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11050.9%56 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33%+$310.54
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$676.01
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29%+$134.06
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,826.71
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,569.97
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.99
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$690
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.88
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,330
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,782.52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+155.4%+$6,955.25
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.57
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$72.59
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+71.8%+$522.17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.24
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+144.1%+$1,776.7
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$217.59
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$344.94
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+669.2%+$1,740
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$380
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$390
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,081.32
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.9%+$2,491.6
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$113.23
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$367.59
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$2,481.99
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$885
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$653.17
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$690
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.1%+$1,652.55
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$889.04
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$115.33
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.2%+$1,424.36
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$271.02
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+944.3%+$2,131.06
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.12
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.41
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,798.97
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$503.9
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.99
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$560.3
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.14
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,936.22
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.31
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.66
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,038.99
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.41
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$143.93
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,645
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$900
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$374.65
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,200
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$341.32
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.24
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$322
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,199.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.55
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+175%+$8,767.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.42
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$1,387.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$4,473.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,320.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,322.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,718
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,674.35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$54.36
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Game: Overtime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$255
1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$108.57
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$145
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$350
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+107.9%+$1,040.81
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$913.81
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$691.05
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+112.4%+$290.48
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$245
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+132.6%+$285
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+304%+$204.69
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.59
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$257.3
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$89.99
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+75.6%+$732
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.1
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$2,848.47
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.8%+$60.18
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.79
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$89.76
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$315
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,680.09
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.8%+$3,662.19
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,112.49
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+76.3%+$228.86
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$580.74
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$845
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,081.23
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$483.79
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,547.22
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.69
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$71.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,482.69
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.76
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,413Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$4,462.92
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$500.08
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,075
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,609.58
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$110.19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,603Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$2,570.16
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$348.7
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$478.61
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$359.82
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$103.04
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+161.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+139%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.1%+$239.17
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.9%+$193.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
California vs. Oregon Statebacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$432.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+147%+$1,451.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$38.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+50.8%+$78.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+26%+$618.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.